Target Price Playground
SNDK
$851.77
๐ข
SNDK IV: 92.4% โ LOW
(-18.1% vs 30d avg of 112.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $940 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $851.77 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $810 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $122.9 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $940 by Jun 19: the protective put returns $-3,467 (-3.6%) on $97,467 risked, vs +$8,823 (10.4%) for 100 shares on $85,177. Options give 0.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $940. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $940 by Jun 19
$-3,467
-3.6% on $97,467 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$16,467
Put floors you at $810
Break-even
$974.67
+14.43% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
80%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
64.05 / -100.46 / 139.21
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $681 (-20%) | -$10,444 | -$12,181 | -$14,302 | -$16,467 |
| $724 (-15%) | -$8,539 | -$10,472 | -$12,947 | -$16,467 |
| $767 (-10%) | -$6,386 | -$8,464 | -$11,195 | -$16,467 |
| $809 (-5%) | -$3,998 | -$6,170 | -$9,045 | -$16,467 |
| $835 (-2%) | -$2,461 | -$4,665 | -$7,574 | -$13,994 |
| $852 (0%) โ spot | -$1,394 | -$3,609 | -$6,520 | -$12,290 |
| $869 (+2%) | -$295 | -$2,515 | -$5,413 | -$10,586 |
| $894 (+5%) | +$1,409 | -$805 | -$3,656 | -$8,031 |
| $940 (+10%) โ target | +$4,613 | +$2,443 | -$260 | -$3,467 |
| $980 (+15%) | +$7,539 | +$5,435 | +$2,911 | +$487 |
| $1022 (+20%) | +$10,828 | +$8,819 | +$6,520 | +$4,745 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.