Target Price Playground
SNDK
$851.77
๐ข
SNDK IV: 92.4% โ LOW
(-18.1% vs 30d avg of 112.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $980 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $850 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $158.72 ยท ฮ 0.6
LONG PUT ยท $850 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $143.82 ยท ฮ -0.4
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $980 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-17,254 (-57.0%) on $30,254 risked, vs +$12,823 (15.1%) for 100 shares on $85,177. Options give 3.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $980. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $980 by Jun 19
$-17,254
-57.0% on $30,254 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$30,254
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$1152.54
+35.31% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
19.85 / -217.84 / 285.74
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $681 (-20%) | -$2,710 | -$6,211 | -$10,230 | -$13,396 |
| $724 (-15%) | -$3,557 | -$7,523 | -$12,366 | -$17,654 |
| $767 (-10%) | -$3,916 | -$8,257 | -$13,777 | -$21,913 |
| $809 (-5%) | -$3,806 | -$8,424 | -$14,427 | -$26,172 |
| $835 (-2%) | -$3,526 | -$8,262 | -$14,453 | -$28,727 |
| $852 (0%) โ spot | -$3,254 | -$8,049 | -$14,323 | -$30,077 |
| $869 (+2%) | -$2,916 | -$7,755 | -$14,079 | -$28,373 |
| $894 (+5%) | -$2,289 | -$7,168 | -$13,507 | -$25,818 |
| $937 (+10%) | -$946 | -$5,823 | -$12,044 | -$21,559 |
| $980 (+15%) โ target | +$762 | -$4,038 | -$9,991 | -$17,254 |
| $1022 (+20%) | +$2,742 | -$1,924 | -$7,508 | -$13,042 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.