Target Price Playground
SNDK
$851.77
๐ข
SNDK IV: 92.4% โ LOW
(-18.1% vs 30d avg of 112.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $920 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $851.77 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $920 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $132.19 ยท ฮ 0.53
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $920 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$20,042 (27.9%) on $71,958 risked, vs +$6,823 (8.0%) for 100 shares on $85,177. Options give 3.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $920. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $920 by Jun 19
+$20,042
+27.9% on $71,958 risked
Max Profit
+$20,042
If the stock โฅ $920 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$71,958
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$719.58
-15.52% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
84%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
47.08 / 112.09 / -149.03
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $681 (-20%) | -$8,095 | -$6,432 | -$4,729 | -$3,816 |
| $724 (-15%) | -$5,229 | -$3,291 | -$1,134 | +$442 |
| $767 (-10%) | -$2,593 | -$411 | +$2,177 | +$4,701 |
| $809 (-5%) | -$185 | +$2,204 | +$5,164 | +$8,960 |
| $835 (-2%) | +$1,152 | +$3,644 | +$6,790 | +$11,515 |
| $852 (0%) โ spot | +$2,001 | +$4,552 | +$7,803 | +$13,219 |
| $869 (+2%) | +$2,816 | +$5,420 | +$8,760 | +$14,923 |
| $894 (+5%) | +$3,976 | +$6,644 | +$10,090 | +$17,478 |
| $920 (+8%) โ target | +$5,069 | +$7,785 | +$11,301 | +$20,042 |
| $937 (+10%) | +$5,753 | +$8,492 | +$12,035 | +$20,042 |
| $980 (+15%) | +$7,344 | +$10,111 | +$13,659 | +$20,042 |
| $1022 (+20%) | +$8,763 | +$11,522 | +$14,993 | +$20,042 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.