Target Price Playground
SNDK
$851.77
๐ข
SNDK IV: 92.4% โ LOW
(-18.1% vs 30d avg of 112.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $950 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $850 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $158.72 ยท ฮ 0.6
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $950 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-5,872 (-37.0%) on $15,872 risked, vs +$9,823 (11.5%) for 100 shares on $85,177. Options give 3.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $950. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $950 by Jun 19
$-5,872
-37.0% on $15,872 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$15,872
Premium paid
Break-even
$1008.72
+18.43% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
77%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
60.01 / -112.59 / 142.82
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $681 (-20%) | -$10,179 | -$12,045 | -$14,168 | -$15,872 |
| $724 (-15%) | -$8,474 | -$10,571 | -$13,107 | -$15,872 |
| $767 (-10%) | -$6,524 | -$8,809 | -$11,684 | -$15,872 |
| $809 (-5%) | -$4,340 | -$6,763 | -$9,879 | -$15,872 |
| $835 (-2%) | -$2,922 | -$5,404 | -$8,615 | -$15,872 |
| $852 (0%) โ spot | -$1,934 | -$4,446 | -$7,698 | -$15,695 |
| $869 (+2%) | -$913 | -$3,447 | -$6,724 | -$13,991 |
| $894 (+5%) | +$678 | -$1,876 | -$5,160 | -$11,436 |
| $937 (+10%) | +$3,479 | +$926 | -$2,299 | -$7,177 |
| $950 (+12%) โ target | +$4,373 | +$1,828 | -$1,364 | -$5,872 |
| $980 (+15%) | +$6,453 | +$3,938 | +$844 | -$2,918 |
| $1022 (+20%) | +$9,582 | +$7,134 | +$4,227 | +$1,340 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.