Target Price Playground
SOUN
$6.43
๐ข
SOUN IV: 92.3% โ LOW
(-19.1% vs 30d avg of 114.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $7 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $7 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.98 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $7 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.73 ยท ฮ 0.49
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SOUN hits $7 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$25 (103.6%) on $25 risked, vs +$57 (8.9%) for 100 shares on $643. Options give 11.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SOUN is at $7. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SOUN hits $7 by Jun 19
+$25
+103.6% on $25 risked
Max Profit
+$25
If the stock โฅ $7 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$25
Net debit
Break-even
$6.75
+4.91% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
82%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
8.17 / -0.04 / -0.06
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SOUN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5 (-20%) | -$16 | -$17 | -$20 | -$25 |
| $5 (-15%) | -$13 | -$15 | -$17 | -$25 |
| $6 (-10%) | -$11 | -$12 | -$14 | -$25 |
| $6 (-5%) | -$8 | -$9 | -$10 | -$25 |
| $6 (-2%) | -$7 | -$7 | -$8 | -$25 |
| $6 (0%) โ spot | -$6 | -$6 | -$6 | -$25 |
| $7 (+2%) | -$5 | -$5 | -$5 | -$19 |
| $7 (+5%) | -$4 | -$3 | -$2 | +$0 |
| $7 (+9%) โ target | -$2 | -$1 | +$1 | +$25 |
| $7 (+10%) | -$1 | +$0 | +$2 | +$25 |
| $7 (+15%) | +$1 | +$3 | +$6 | +$25 |
| $8 (+20%) | +$3 | +$5 | +$9 | +$25 |
Uses SOUN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.