Target Price Playground
SOUN
$6.43
๐ข
SOUN IV: 92.3% โ LOW
(-19.1% vs 30d avg of 114.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $7 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
SHORT PUT ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.75 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Cash-Secured Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SOUN hits $7 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$75 (14.3%) on $-75 credit (max loss $525), vs +$57 (8.9%) for 100 shares on $643. Options give 1.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SOUN is at $7. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SOUN hits $7 by Jun 19
+$75
+14.3% on $525 max loss
Max Profit
+$75
If the stock โฅ $6 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$525
If stock โ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$5.25
-18.35% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
82%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
34.88 / 0.65 / -1.04
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SOUN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5 (-20%) | -$56 | -$44 | -$28 | -$11 |
| $5 (-15%) | -$38 | -$24 | -$6 | +$22 |
| $6 (-10%) | -$23 | -$8 | +$12 | +$54 |
| $6 (-5%) | -$9 | +$6 | +$27 | +$75 |
| $6 (-2%) | -$2 | +$14 | +$34 | +$75 |
| $6 (0%) โ spot | +$2 | +$18 | +$39 | +$75 |
| $7 (+2%) | +$7 | +$23 | +$43 | +$75 |
| $7 (+5%) | +$13 | +$28 | +$48 | +$75 |
| $7 (+9%) โ target | +$20 | +$35 | +$54 | +$75 |
| $7 (+10%) | +$22 | +$37 | +$55 | +$75 |
| $7 (+15%) | +$30 | +$44 | +$61 | +$75 |
| $8 (+20%) | +$36 | +$50 | +$65 | +$75 |
Uses SOUN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.