Target Price Playground
SOUN
$6.43
๐ข
SOUN IV: 92.3% โ LOW
(-19.1% vs 30d avg of 114.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $7 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $7 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.98 ยท ฮ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SOUN hits $7 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-48 (-48.7%) on $98 risked, vs +$57 (8.9%) for 100 shares on $643. Options give 5.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SOUN is at $7. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SOUN hits $7 by Jun 19
$-48
-48.7% on $98 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$98
Premium paid
Break-even
$7.48
+16.26% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
82%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.38 / -0.76 / 1.08
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SOUN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5 (-20%) | -$60 | -$73 | -$88 | -$98 |
| $5 (-15%) | -$48 | -$63 | -$80 | -$98 |
| $6 (-10%) | -$34 | -$50 | -$71 | -$98 |
| $6 (-5%) | -$18 | -$36 | -$58 | -$98 |
| $6 (-2%) | -$8 | -$26 | -$49 | -$98 |
| $6 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$19 | -$43 | -$98 |
| $7 (+2%) | +$7 | -$11 | -$35 | -$92 |
| $7 (+5%) | +$19 | -$0 | -$24 | -$73 |
| $7 (+9%) โ target | +$35 | +$16 | -$8 | -$48 |
| $7 (+10%) | +$39 | +$21 | -$3 | -$41 |
| $7 (+15%) | +$61 | +$43 | +$20 | -$9 |
| $8 (+20%) | +$85 | +$67 | +$46 | +$24 |
Uses SOUN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.