Target Price Playground
SOUN
$6.43
๐ข
SOUN IV: 92.3% โ LOW
(-19.1% vs 30d avg of 114.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $7 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $6.43 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.75 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SOUN hits $7 by Jun 19: the protective put returns $-18 (-2.5%) on $718 risked, vs +$57 (8.9%) for 100 shares on $643. Options give 0.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SOUN is at $7. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SOUN hits $7 by Jun 19
$-18
-2.5% on $718 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$118
Put floors you at $6
Break-even
$7.18
+11.66% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
82%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
65.12 / -0.65 / 1.04
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SOUN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5 (-20%) | -$73 | -$85 | -$101 | -$118 |
| $5 (-15%) | -$58 | -$72 | -$90 | -$118 |
| $6 (-10%) | -$41 | -$56 | -$76 | -$118 |
| $6 (-5%) | -$23 | -$38 | -$59 | -$107 |
| $6 (-2%) | -$11 | -$27 | -$47 | -$88 |
| $6 (0%) โ spot | -$2 | -$18 | -$39 | -$75 |
| $7 (+2%) | +$6 | -$10 | -$30 | -$62 |
| $7 (+5%) | +$19 | +$4 | -$16 | -$43 |
| $7 (+9%) โ target | +$37 | +$22 | +$3 | -$18 |
| $7 (+10%) | +$42 | +$27 | +$9 | -$11 |
| $7 (+15%) | +$66 | +$52 | +$35 | +$21 |
| $8 (+20%) | +$93 | +$79 | +$64 | +$54 |
Uses SOUN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.