Target Price Playground
SOUN
$6.43
๐ข
SOUN IV: 92.3% โ LOW
(-19.1% vs 30d avg of 114.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $8 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $7 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.98 ยท ฮ 0.57
LONG PUT ยท $7 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.99 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SOUN hits $8 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-97 (-49.2%) on $197 risked, vs +$107 (16.6%) for 100 shares on $643. Options give 3.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SOUN is at $8. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SOUN hits $8 by Jun 19
$-97
-49.2% on $197 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$197
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$4.53
-29.51% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
67%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
14.76 / -1.44 / 2.16
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SOUN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5 (-20%) | +$9 | -$15 | -$42 | -$61 |
| $5 (-15%) | +$1 | -$27 | -$61 | -$94 |
| $6 (-10%) | -$3 | -$34 | -$73 | -$126 |
| $6 (-5%) | -$3 | -$37 | -$80 | -$158 |
| $6 (-2%) | -$2 | -$36 | -$81 | -$177 |
| $6 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$35 | -$81 | -$190 |
| $7 (+2%) | +$2 | -$33 | -$80 | -$191 |
| $7 (+5%) | +$6 | -$30 | -$76 | -$172 |
| $7 (+10%) | +$15 | -$20 | -$66 | -$140 |
| $7 (+15%) | +$27 | -$8 | -$52 | -$108 |
| $8 (+17%) โ target | +$32 | -$3 | -$46 | -$97 |
| $8 (+20%) | +$42 | +$8 | -$33 | -$75 |
Uses SOUN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.