Target Price Playground
SOUN
$6.43
๐ข
SOUN IV: 92.3% โ LOW
(-19.1% vs 30d avg of 114.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $7 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $6.43 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $7 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.73 ยท ฮ 0.49
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SOUN hits $7 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$130 (22.8%) on $570 risked, vs +$57 (8.9%) for 100 shares on $643. Options give 2.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SOUN is at $7. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SOUN hits $7 by Jun 19
+$130
+22.8% on $570 risked
Max Profit
+$130
If the stock โฅ $7 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$570
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$5.70
-11.35% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
82%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
50.79 / 0.72 / -1.14
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SOUN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5 (-20%) | -$84 | -$73 | -$61 | -$56 |
| $5 (-15%) | -$61 | -$48 | -$33 | -$23 |
| $6 (-10%) | -$41 | -$26 | -$7 | +$9 |
| $6 (-5%) | -$22 | -$5 | +$16 | +$41 |
| $6 (-2%) | -$12 | +$6 | +$28 | +$60 |
| $6 (0%) โ spot | -$6 | +$13 | +$36 | +$73 |
| $7 (+2%) | +$1 | +$20 | +$44 | +$86 |
| $7 (+5%) | +$10 | +$29 | +$54 | +$105 |
| $7 (+9%) โ target | +$21 | +$40 | +$66 | +$130 |
| $7 (+10%) | +$23 | +$43 | +$69 | +$130 |
| $7 (+15%) | +$36 | +$56 | +$82 | +$130 |
| $8 (+20%) | +$47 | +$67 | +$93 | +$130 |
Uses SOUN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.