Target Price Playground
SPSC
$51.45
Forward Projection
If price hits $45 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $51 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.2 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $47 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.8 ยท ฮ -0.2
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SPSC hits $45 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$260 (185.1%) on $140 risked, vs $-645 (-12.5%) for 100 shares on $5,145. Options give 14.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SPSC is at $45. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SPSC hits $45 by Jun 19
+$260
+185.1% on $140 risked
Max Profit
+$260
If the stock โค $47 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$140
Net debit
Break-even
$49.60
-3.6% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
33%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-21.94 / -0.38 / 2.41
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SPSC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $41 (-20%) | +$220 | +$237 | +$253 | +$260 |
| $44 (-15%) | +$180 | +$199 | +$229 | +$260 |
| $45 (-13%) โ target | +$154 | +$172 | +$203 | +$260 |
| $46 (-10%) | +$124 | +$138 | +$164 | +$260 |
| $49 (-5%) | +$61 | +$62 | +$64 | +$72 |
| $50 (-2%) | +$24 | +$17 | +$3 | -$82 |
| $51 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$11 | -$33 | -$140 |
| $52 (+2%) | -$21 | -$36 | -$64 | -$140 |
| $54 (+5%) | -$50 | -$67 | -$97 | -$140 |
| $57 (+10%) | -$87 | -$104 | -$127 | -$140 |
| $59 (+15%) | -$111 | -$124 | -$137 | -$140 |
| $62 (+20%) | -$125 | -$134 | -$139 | -$140 |
Uses SPSC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.