Target Price Playground
SPSC
$51.45
Forward Projection
If price hits $49 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $51 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.61 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $49 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.38 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SPSC hits $49 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$150 (121.9%) on $123 risked, vs $-245 (-4.8%) for 100 shares on $5,145. Options give 25.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SPSC is at $49. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SPSC hits $49 by Jun 19
+$150
+121.9% on $123 risked
Max Profit
+$141
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$123
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$51.88
+0.83% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-11.1 / 0.2 / 2.51
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SPSC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $41 (-20%) | +$61 | +$64 | +$64 | +$60 |
| $44 (-15%) | +$58 | +$65 | +$71 | +$65 |
| $46 (-10%) | +$46 | +$57 | +$74 | +$86 |
| $49 (-5%) โ target | +$25 | +$35 | +$54 | +$149 |
| $50 (-2%) | +$11 | +$19 | +$32 | +$66 |
| $51 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$5 | +$14 | +$17 |
| $52 (+2%) | -$12 | -$9 | -$6 | -$22 |
| $54 (+5%) | -$29 | -$30 | -$35 | -$64 |
| $57 (+10%) | -$56 | -$63 | -$75 | -$103 |
| $59 (+15%) | -$78 | -$87 | -$100 | -$117 |
| $62 (+20%) | -$95 | -$103 | -$113 | -$121 |
Uses SPSC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.