Target Price Playground
SPSC
$51.45
Forward Projection
If price hits $45 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $51 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.2 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SPSC hits $45 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$380 (172.4%) on $220 risked, vs $-645 (-12.5%) for 100 shares on $5,145. Options give 13.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SPSC is at $45. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SPSC hits $45 by Jun 19
+$380
+172.4% on $220 risked
Max Profit
+$4,880
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$220
Premium paid
Break-even
$48.80
-5.16% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
33%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.2 / -1.64 / 8.63
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SPSC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $41 (-20%) | +$736 | +$740 | +$750 | +$764 |
| $44 (-15%) | +$504 | +$497 | +$496 | +$507 |
| $45 (-13%) โ target | +$398 | +$384 | +$373 | +$380 |
| $46 (-10%) | +$298 | +$276 | +$253 | +$249 |
| $49 (-5%) | +$129 | +$94 | +$49 | -$8 |
| $50 (-2%) | +$47 | +$8 | -$45 | -$162 |
| $51 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$40 | -$94 | -$220 |
| $52 (+2%) | -$40 | -$80 | -$133 | -$220 |
| $54 (+5%) | -$90 | -$127 | -$173 | -$220 |
| $57 (+10%) | -$148 | -$177 | -$206 | -$220 |
| $59 (+15%) | -$182 | -$202 | -$217 | -$220 |
| $62 (+20%) | -$201 | -$213 | -$219 | -$220 |
Uses SPSC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.