Target Price Playground
SPSC
$51.45
Forward Projection
If price hits $57 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $51.45 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $49 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.38 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SPSC hits $57 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$417 (7.9%) on $5,283 risked, vs +$555 (10.8%) for 100 shares on $5,145. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SPSC is at $57. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SPSC hits $57 by Jun 19
+$417
+7.9% on $5,283 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$383
Put floors you at $49
Break-even
$52.83
+2.69% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
40%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
69.43 / -1.52 / 7.73
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SPSC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $41 (-20%) | -$397 | -$399 | -$396 | -$383 |
| $44 (-15%) | -$355 | -$372 | -$386 | -$383 |
| $46 (-10%) | -$278 | -$309 | -$347 | -$383 |
| $49 (-5%) | -$159 | -$197 | -$249 | -$383 |
| $50 (-2%) | -$68 | -$107 | -$157 | -$241 |
| $51 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$36 | -$83 | -$138 |
| $52 (+2%) | +$75 | +$41 | -$0 | -$35 |
| $54 (+5%) | +$195 | +$166 | +$135 | +$119 |
| $57 (+11%) โ target | +$452 | +$434 | +$420 | +$417 |
| $59 (+15%) | +$653 | +$641 | +$635 | +$634 |
| $62 (+20%) | +$900 | +$893 | +$891 | +$891 |
Uses SPSC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.