Target Price Playground
STX
$503.13
๐ข
STX IV: 68.6% โ LOW
(-33.0% vs 30d avg of 102.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $560 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $500 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $69.5 ยท ฮ 0.58
SHORT CALL ยท $540 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $51.0 ยท ฮ 0.49
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If STX hits $560 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$2,150 (116.2%) on $1,850 risked, vs +$5,687 (11.3%) for 100 shares on $50,313. Options give 10.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if STX is at $560. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if STX hits $560 by Jun 19
+$2,150
+116.2% on $1,850 risked
Max Profit
+$2,150
If the stock โฅ $540 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,850
Net debit
Break-even
$518.50
+3.05% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
9.6 / -1.38 / -3.72
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| STX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $403 (-20%) | -$1,182 | -$1,328 | -$1,579 | -$1,850 |
| $428 (-15%) | -$966 | -$1,095 | -$1,355 | -$1,850 |
| $453 (-10%) | -$730 | -$827 | -$1,048 | -$1,850 |
| $478 (-5%) | -$483 | -$533 | -$673 | -$1,850 |
| $493 (-2%) | -$331 | -$350 | -$426 | -$1,850 |
| $503 (0%) โ spot | -$231 | -$227 | -$256 | -$1,537 |
| $513 (+2%) | -$131 | -$105 | -$85 | -$531 |
| $528 (+5%) | +$18 | +$77 | +$170 | +$979 |
| $553 (+10%) | +$258 | +$370 | +$574 | +$2,150 |
| $560 (+11%) โ target | +$318 | +$443 | +$673 | +$2,150 |
| $579 (+15%) | +$485 | +$642 | +$936 | +$2,150 |
| $604 (+20%) | +$695 | +$889 | +$1,241 | +$2,150 |
Uses STX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.