Target Price Playground
STX
$503.13
๐ข
STX IV: 68.6% โ LOW
(-33.0% vs 30d avg of 102.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $480 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $500 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $67.63 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $480 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $53.05 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If STX hits $480 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$3,374 (231.4%) on $1,458 risked, vs $-2,313 (-4.6%) for 100 shares on $50,313. Options give 50.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if STX is at $480. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if STX hits $480 by Jun 19
+$3,374
+231.4% on $1,458 risked
Max Profit
+$3,348
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$1,024
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$574.39
+14.16% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
88%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-3.91 / 11.94 / 17.92
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| STX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $403 (-20%) | +$798 | +$939 | +$1,122 | +$999 |
| $428 (-15%) | +$796 | +$973 | +$1,257 | +$1,516 |
| $453 (-10%) | +$764 | +$959 | +$1,310 | +$2,269 |
| $480 (-5%) โ target | +$696 | +$891 | +$1,257 | +$3,375 |
| $493 (-2%) | +$652 | +$840 | +$1,192 | +$2,710 |
| $503 (0%) โ spot | +$615 | +$794 | +$1,126 | +$2,245 |
| $513 (+2%) | +$574 | +$742 | +$1,048 | +$1,821 |
| $528 (+5%) | +$506 | +$654 | +$911 | +$1,257 |
| $553 (+10%) | +$382 | +$489 | +$646 | +$491 |
| $579 (+15%) | +$248 | +$308 | +$359 | -$85 |
| $604 (+20%) | +$109 | +$122 | +$73 | -$508 |
Uses STX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.