Target Price Playground
STX
$503.13
๐ข
STX IV: 68.6% โ LOW
(-33.0% vs 30d avg of 102.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $560 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $500 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $69.5 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If STX hits $560 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-950 (-13.7%) on $6,950 risked, vs +$5,687 (11.3%) for 100 shares on $50,313. Options give 1.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if STX is at $560. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if STX hits $560 by Jun 19
$-950
-13.7% on $6,950 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$6,950
Premium paid
Break-even
$569.50
+13.19% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
58.38 / -51.56 / 83.63
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| STX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $403 (-20%) | -$4,953 | -$5,709 | -$6,497 | -$6,950 |
| $428 (-15%) | -$4,113 | -$5,015 | -$6,053 | -$6,950 |
| $453 (-10%) | -$3,090 | -$4,111 | -$5,366 | -$6,950 |
| $478 (-5%) | -$1,888 | -$2,992 | -$4,400 | -$6,950 |
| $493 (-2%) | -$1,082 | -$2,219 | -$3,681 | -$6,950 |
| $503 (0%) โ spot | -$513 | -$1,663 | -$3,144 | -$6,637 |
| $513 (+2%) | +$83 | -$1,076 | -$2,563 | -$5,631 |
| $528 (+5%) | +$1,023 | -$137 | -$1,612 | -$4,121 |
| $553 (+10%) | +$2,705 | +$1,566 | +$164 | -$1,606 |
| $560 (+11%) โ target | +$3,166 | +$2,037 | +$662 | -$950 |
| $579 (+15%) | +$4,518 | +$3,426 | +$2,144 | +$910 |
| $604 (+20%) | +$6,446 | +$5,420 | +$4,283 | +$3,426 |
Uses STX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.