Target Price Playground
STX
$503.13
๐ข
STX IV: 68.6% โ LOW
(-33.0% vs 30d avg of 102.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $560 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $503.13 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If STX hits $560 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$5,687 (11.3%) on $50,313 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if STX hits $560 by Jun 19
+$5,687
+11.3% on $50,313 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$50,313
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$503.13
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| STX Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $403 (-20%) | -$10,063 | -$10,063 | -$10,063 |
| $428 (-15%) | -$7,547 | -$7,547 | -$7,547 |
| $453 (-10%) | -$5,031 | -$5,031 | -$5,031 |
| $478 (-5%) | -$2,516 | -$2,516 | -$2,516 |
| $493 (-2%) | -$1,006 | -$1,006 | -$1,006 |
| $503 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $513 (+2%) | +$1,006 | +$1,006 | +$1,006 |
| $528 (+5%) | +$2,516 | +$2,516 | +$2,516 |
| $553 (+10%) | +$5,031 | +$5,031 | +$5,031 |
| $560 (+11%) โ target | +$5,687 | +$5,687 | +$5,687 |
| $579 (+15%) | +$7,547 | +$7,547 | +$7,547 |
| $604 (+20%) | +$10,063 | +$10,063 | +$10,063 |
Uses STX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.