Target Price Playground
SWKS
$56.36
๐ข
SWKS IV: 49.0% โ LOW
(-23.9% vs 30d avg of 64.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $50 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $56 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.11 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $52 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.36 ยท ฮ -0.29
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SWKS hits $50 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$226 (129.3%) on $174 risked, vs $-636 (-11.3%) for 100 shares on $5,636. Options give 11.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SWKS is at $50. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SWKS hits $50 by Jun 19
+$226
+129.3% on $174 risked
Max Profit
+$226
If the stock โค $52 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$174
Net debit
Break-even
$54.26
-3.73% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-13.65 / -0.29 / 1.16
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SWKS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $45 (-20%) | +$153 | +$171 | +$199 | +$225 |
| $48 (-15%) | +$119 | +$134 | +$163 | +$225 |
| $50 (-11%) โ target | +$90 | +$101 | +$124 | +$225 |
| $51 (-10%) | +$80 | +$89 | +$108 | +$225 |
| $54 (-5%) | +$39 | +$40 | +$41 | +$71 |
| $55 (-2%) | +$15 | +$10 | -$0 | -$98 |
| $56 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$9 | -$26 | -$175 |
| $57 (+2%) | -$16 | -$27 | -$50 | -$175 |
| $59 (+5%) | -$37 | -$52 | -$82 | -$175 |
| $62 (+10%) | -$69 | -$88 | -$122 | -$175 |
| $65 (+15%) | -$95 | -$116 | -$147 | -$175 |
| $68 (+20%) | -$117 | -$136 | -$162 | -$175 |
Uses SWKS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.