Target Price Playground
SWKS
$56.36
๐ข
SWKS IV: 47.4% โ LOW
(-26.3% vs 30d avg of 64.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $63 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $56 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.93 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $61 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.92 ยท ฮ 0.4
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SWKS hits $63 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$299 (149.2%) on $201 risked, vs +$664 (11.8%) for 100 shares on $5,636. Options give 12.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SWKS is at $63. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SWKS hits $63 by Jun 19
+$299
+149.2% on $201 risked
Max Profit
+$299
If the stock โฅ $61 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$201
Net debit
Break-even
$58.01
+2.92% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
56%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
16.73 / -0.14 / 0.15
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SWKS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $45 (-20%) | -$156 | -$174 | -$194 | -$201 |
| $48 (-15%) | -$127 | -$147 | -$178 | -$201 |
| $51 (-10%) | -$90 | -$109 | -$145 | -$201 |
| $54 (-5%) | -$47 | -$61 | -$90 | -$201 |
| $55 (-2%) | -$19 | -$28 | -$48 | -$201 |
| $56 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$5 | -$18 | -$165 |
| $57 (+2%) | +$19 | +$18 | +$13 | -$52 |
| $59 (+5%) | +$47 | +$52 | +$61 | +$117 |
| $62 (+10%) | +$91 | +$106 | +$134 | +$299 |
| $63 (+12%) โ target | +$106 | +$124 | +$158 | +$299 |
| $65 (+15%) | +$132 | +$154 | +$194 | +$299 |
| $68 (+20%) | +$168 | +$194 | +$237 | +$299 |
Uses SWKS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.