Target Price Playground
SWKS
$56.36
๐ข
SWKS IV: 49.0% โ LOW
(-23.9% vs 30d avg of 64.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $54 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $56 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.86 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $54 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.16 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SWKS hits $54 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$216 (127.0%) on $170 risked, vs $-236 (-4.2%) for 100 shares on $5,636. Options give 30.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SWKS is at $54. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SWKS hits $54 by Jun 19
+$216
+127.0% on $170 risked
Max Profit
+$208
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$164
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$58.89
+4.48% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
84%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-6.06 / 0.46 / 2.2
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SWKS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $45 (-20%) | +$32 | +$39 | +$43 | +$25 |
| $48 (-15%) | +$31 | +$43 | +$59 | +$51 |
| $51 (-10%) | +$26 | +$41 | +$67 | +$105 |
| $54 (-4%) โ target | +$13 | +$28 | +$56 | +$216 |
| $55 (-2%) | +$6 | +$21 | +$47 | +$149 |
| $56 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$12 | +$35 | +$95 |
| $57 (+2%) | -$7 | +$4 | +$22 | +$49 |
| $59 (+5%) | -$19 | -$11 | +$1 | -$9 |
| $62 (+10%) | -$39 | -$37 | -$38 | -$78 |
| $65 (+15%) | -$59 | -$63 | -$74 | -$121 |
| $68 (+20%) | -$78 | -$86 | -$104 | -$145 |
Uses SWKS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.