Target Price Playground
SWKS
$56.36
๐ข
SWKS IV: 49.0% โ LOW
(-23.9% vs 30d avg of 64.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $50 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $56 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.11 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SWKS hits $50 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$189 (46.1%) on $411 risked, vs $-636 (-11.3%) for 100 shares on $5,636. Options give 4.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SWKS is at $50. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SWKS hits $50 by Jun 19
+$189
+46.1% on $411 risked
Max Profit
+$5,189
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$411
Premium paid
Break-even
$51.89
-7.93% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-43.11 / -2.99 / 9.49
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SWKS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $45 (-20%) | +$713 | +$689 | +$673 | +$680 |
| $48 (-15%) | +$493 | +$452 | +$410 | +$398 |
| $50 (-11%) โ target | +$347 | +$294 | +$232 | +$189 |
| $51 (-10%) | +$300 | +$243 | +$175 | +$117 |
| $54 (-5%) | +$135 | +$67 | -$21 | -$165 |
| $55 (-2%) | +$51 | -$21 | -$117 | -$334 |
| $56 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$74 | -$171 | -$411 |
| $57 (+2%) | -$47 | -$120 | -$218 | -$411 |
| $59 (+5%) | -$109 | -$181 | -$274 | -$411 |
| $62 (+10%) | -$193 | -$259 | -$339 | -$411 |
| $65 (+15%) | -$256 | -$314 | -$376 | -$411 |
| $68 (+20%) | -$303 | -$351 | -$395 | -$411 |
Uses SWKS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.