Target Price Playground
SWKS
$56.36
๐ข
SWKS IV: 49.0% โ LOW
(-23.9% vs 30d avg of 64.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $62 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $56.36 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $54 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.16 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SWKS hits $62 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$248 (4.2%) on $5,952 risked, vs +$564 (10.0%) for 100 shares on $5,636. Options give 0.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SWKS is at $62. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SWKS hits $62 by Jun 19
+$248
+4.2% on $5,952 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$552
Put floors you at $54
Break-even
$59.52
+5.61% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
63.81 / -2.9 / 9.05
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SWKS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $45 (-20%) | -$488 | -$521 | -$550 | -$552 |
| $48 (-15%) | -$410 | -$460 | -$516 | -$552 |
| $51 (-10%) | -$303 | -$366 | -$446 | -$552 |
| $54 (-5%) | -$166 | -$236 | -$329 | -$552 |
| $55 (-2%) | -$70 | -$141 | -$235 | -$429 |
| $56 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$70 | -$162 | -$316 |
| $57 (+2%) | +$75 | +$5 | -$83 | -$203 |
| $59 (+5%) | +$193 | +$127 | +$47 | -$34 |
| $62 (+10%) โ target | +$407 | +$350 | +$287 | +$248 |
| $65 (+15%) | +$639 | +$592 | +$547 | +$529 |
| $68 (+20%) | +$886 | +$848 | +$818 | +$811 |
Uses SWKS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.