Target Price Playground
T
$26.46
๐ข
T IV: 28.5% โ LOW
(-48.9% vs 30d avg of 55.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $30 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.5 ยท ฮ 0.59
SHORT CALL ยท $29 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.35 ยท ฮ 0.22
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If T hits $30 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$185 (160.9%) on $115 risked, vs +$354 (13.4%) for 100 shares on $2,646. Options give 12.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if T is at $30. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if T hits $30 by Jun 19
+$185
+160.9% on $115 risked
Max Profit
+$185
If the stock โฅ $29 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$115
Net debit
Break-even
$27.15
+2.61% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
23%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
36.48 / -0.31 / 1.21
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| T Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | -$111 | -$114 | -$115 | -$115 |
| $22 (-15%) | -$102 | -$109 | -$114 | -$115 |
| $24 (-10%) | -$82 | -$94 | -$108 | -$115 |
| $25 (-5%) | -$48 | -$61 | -$82 | -$115 |
| $26 (-2%) | -$22 | -$32 | -$51 | -$115 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | -$3 | -$10 | -$24 | -$69 |
| $27 (+2%) | +$17 | +$14 | +$6 | -$16 |
| $28 (+5%) | +$47 | +$49 | +$53 | +$63 |
| $29 (+10%) | +$92 | +$102 | +$121 | +$185 |
| $30 (+13%) โ target | +$117 | +$130 | +$151 | +$185 |
| $30 (+15%) | +$128 | +$141 | +$161 | +$185 |
| $32 (+20%) | +$152 | +$164 | +$178 | +$185 |
Uses T's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.