Target Price Playground
T
$26.46
๐ข
T IV: 28.5% โ LOW
(-48.9% vs 30d avg of 55.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $24 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.94 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $25 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.36 ยท ฮ -0.21
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If T hits $24 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$92 (157.8%) on $58 risked, vs $-296 (-11.2%) for 100 shares on $2,646. Options give 14.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if T is at $24. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if T hits $24 by Jun 19
+$92
+157.8% on $58 risked
Max Profit
+$92
If the stock โค $24 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$58
Net debit
Break-even
$25.42
-3.94% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
31%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-20.08 / -0.27 / 1.18
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| T Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | +$82 | +$87 | +$91 | +$92 |
| $22 (-15%) | +$68 | +$75 | +$85 | +$92 |
| $24 (-11%) โ target | +$51 | +$58 | +$70 | +$92 |
| $24 (-10%) | +$45 | +$51 | +$62 | +$92 |
| $25 (-5%) | +$18 | +$18 | +$20 | +$28 |
| $26 (-2%) | +$1 | -$1 | -$7 | -$51 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | -$9 | -$13 | -$22 | -$58 |
| $27 (+2%) | -$18 | -$24 | -$34 | -$58 |
| $28 (+5%) | -$29 | -$36 | -$47 | -$58 |
| $29 (+10%) | -$43 | -$49 | -$56 | -$58 |
| $30 (+15%) | -$51 | -$55 | -$58 | -$58 |
| $32 (+20%) | -$55 | -$57 | -$58 | -$58 |
Uses T's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.