Target Price Playground
T
$26.46
๐ข
T IV: 28.5% โ LOW
(-48.9% vs 30d avg of 55.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $29 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $26.46 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $29 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.35 ยท ฮ 0.22
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If T hits $29 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$289 (11.1%) on $2,611 risked, vs +$254 (9.6%) for 100 shares on $2,646. Options give 1.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if T is at $29. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if T hits $29 by Jun 19
+$289
+11.1% on $2,611 risked
Max Profit
+$289
If the stock โฅ $29 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$2,611
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$26.11
-1.32% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
77.57 / 0.67 / -3.18
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| T Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | -$494 | -$494 | -$494 | -$494 |
| $22 (-15%) | -$363 | -$362 | -$362 | -$362 |
| $24 (-10%) | -$235 | -$232 | -$230 | -$230 |
| $25 (-5%) | -$113 | -$104 | -$98 | -$97 |
| $26 (-2%) | -$47 | -$33 | -$21 | -$18 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | -$5 | +$12 | +$28 | +$35 |
| $27 (+2%) | +$33 | +$53 | +$75 | +$88 |
| $28 (+5%) | +$85 | +$109 | +$137 | +$167 |
| $29 (+10%) โ target | +$149 | +$176 | +$210 | +$289 |
| $30 (+15%) | +$201 | +$227 | +$257 | +$289 |
| $32 (+20%) | +$231 | +$252 | +$274 | +$289 |
Uses T's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.