Target Price Playground
T
$26.46
๐ข
T IV: 28.5% โ LOW
(-48.9% vs 30d avg of 55.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $25 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $26 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.19 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $25 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.64 ยท ฮ -0.29
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If T hits $25 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$73 (131.8%) on $55 risked, vs $-146 (-5.5%) for 100 shares on $2,646. Options give 24.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if T is at $25. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if T hits $25 by Jun 19
+$73
+131.8% on $55 risked
Max Profit
+$69
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$55
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$26.36
-0.39% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-12.39 / 0.1 / 1.51
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| T Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | +$36 | +$37 | +$37 | +$36 |
| $22 (-15%) | +$34 | +$37 | +$40 | +$38 |
| $24 (-10%) | +$27 | +$32 | +$40 | +$47 |
| $25 (-6%) โ target | +$16 | +$21 | +$29 | +$72 |
| $26 (-2%) | +$5 | +$8 | +$13 | +$18 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$0 | +$2 | -$4 |
| $27 (+2%) | -$8 | -$8 | -$9 | -$21 |
| $28 (+5%) | -$18 | -$20 | -$24 | -$38 |
| $29 (+10%) | -$31 | -$35 | -$42 | -$51 |
| $30 (+15%) | -$41 | -$45 | -$50 | -$54 |
| $32 (+20%) | -$48 | -$51 | -$53 | -$55 |
Uses T's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.