Target Price Playground
T
$26.46
๐ข
T IV: 28.5% โ LOW
(-48.9% vs 30d avg of 55.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $24 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.94 ยท ฮ -0.41
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If T hits $24 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$156 (166.0%) on $94 risked, vs $-296 (-11.2%) for 100 shares on $2,646. Options give 14.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if T is at $24. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if T hits $24 by Jun 19
+$156
+166.0% on $94 risked
Max Profit
+$2,506
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$94
Premium paid
Break-even
$25.06
-5.29% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
31%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-40.61 / -0.82 / 4.4
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| T Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | +$372 | +$376 | +$382 | +$389 |
| $22 (-15%) | +$250 | +$249 | +$250 | +$257 |
| $24 (-11%) โ target | +$165 | +$159 | +$153 | +$156 |
| $24 (-10%) | +$142 | +$133 | +$125 | +$125 |
| $25 (-5%) | +$54 | +$39 | +$19 | -$8 |
| $26 (-2%) | +$13 | -$4 | -$27 | -$87 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | -$9 | -$26 | -$49 | -$94 |
| $27 (+2%) | -$28 | -$44 | -$66 | -$94 |
| $28 (+5%) | -$49 | -$64 | -$81 | -$94 |
| $29 (+10%) | -$73 | -$83 | -$91 | -$94 |
| $30 (+15%) | -$85 | -$90 | -$94 | -$94 |
| $32 (+20%) | -$90 | -$93 | -$94 | -$94 |
Uses T's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.