Target Price Playground
T
$26.46
๐ข
T IV: 28.5% โ LOW
(-48.9% vs 30d avg of 55.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $29 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $26.46 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $25 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.64 ยท ฮ -0.29
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If T hits $29 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$190 (7.0%) on $2,710 risked, vs +$254 (9.6%) for 100 shares on $2,646. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if T is at $29. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if T hits $29 by Jun 19
+$190
+7.0% on $2,710 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$210
Put floors you at $25
Break-even
$27.10
+2.42% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
71.37 / -0.77 / 3.75
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| T Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | -$222 | -$221 | -$217 | -$210 |
| $22 (-15%) | -$203 | -$209 | -$213 | -$210 |
| $24 (-10%) | -$165 | -$178 | -$195 | -$210 |
| $25 (-5%) | -$102 | -$118 | -$141 | -$196 |
| $26 (-2%) | -$52 | -$69 | -$89 | -$117 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | -$15 | -$30 | -$48 | -$64 |
| $27 (+2%) | +$26 | +$13 | -$2 | -$11 |
| $28 (+5%) | +$91 | +$81 | +$71 | +$68 |
| $29 (+10%) โ target | +$201 | +$195 | +$191 | +$190 |
| $30 (+15%) | +$337 | +$334 | +$333 | +$333 |
| $32 (+20%) | +$466 | +$465 | +$465 | +$465 |
Uses T's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.