Target Price Playground
T
$26.46
๐ข
T IV: 28.5% โ LOW
(-48.9% vs 30d avg of 55.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $30 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.5 ยท ฮ 0.59
LONG PUT ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.94 ยท ฮ -0.41
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If T hits $30 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$156 (63.9%) on $244 risked, vs +$354 (13.4%) for 100 shares on $2,646. Options give 4.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if T is at $30. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if T hits $30 by Jun 19
+$156
+63.9% on $244 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$244
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$28.44
+7.48% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
23%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
18.29 / -1.8 / 8.8
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| T Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | +$225 | +$227 | +$232 | +$239 |
| $22 (-15%) | +$114 | +$105 | +$101 | +$107 |
| $24 (-10%) | +$30 | +$5 | -$18 | -$25 |
| $25 (-5%) | -$13 | -$50 | -$97 | -$158 |
| $26 (-2%) | -$15 | -$56 | -$109 | -$237 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | -$6 | -$48 | -$101 | -$198 |
| $27 (+2%) | +$9 | -$31 | -$81 | -$145 |
| $28 (+5%) | +$45 | +$8 | -$33 | -$66 |
| $29 (+10%) | +$131 | +$104 | +$80 | +$67 |
| $30 (+13%) โ target | +$202 | +$181 | +$165 | +$156 |
| $30 (+15%) | +$239 | +$221 | +$207 | +$199 |
| $32 (+20%) | +$360 | +$348 | +$338 | +$331 |
Uses T's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.