Target Price Playground
TDC
$27.08
๐ข
TDC IV: 53.3% โ LOW
(-53.2% vs 30d avg of 113.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $24 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
59d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $27 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.11 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $25 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.5 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $24 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$139 (225.9%) on $61 risked, vs $-308 (-11.4%) for 100 shares on $2,708. Options give 19.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (59 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $24. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $24 by Jun 19
+$139
+225.9% on $61 risked
Max Profit
+$139
If the stock โค $25 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$61
Net debit
Break-even
$26.39
-2.56% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 59d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-13.54 / 0.16 / 0.67
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 10 | May 30 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | +$103 | +$111 | +$125 | +$139 |
| $23 (-15%) | +$86 | +$93 | +$108 | +$139 |
| $24 (-11%) โ target | +$73 | +$78 | +$89 | +$139 |
| $24 (-10%) | +$67 | +$71 | +$81 | +$139 |
| $26 (-5%) | +$48 | +$48 | +$48 | +$66 |
| $27 (-2%) | +$36 | +$34 | +$29 | -$15 |
| $27 (0%) โ spot | +$28 | +$24 | +$16 | -$61 |
| $28 (+2%) | +$21 | +$16 | +$4 | -$61 |
| $28 (+5%) | +$11 | +$3 | -$12 | -$61 |
| $30 (+10%) | -$5 | -$14 | -$32 | -$61 |
| $31 (+15%) | -$18 | -$28 | -$45 | -$61 |
| $33 (+20%) | -$29 | -$39 | -$53 | -$61 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.