Target Price Playground
TDC
$27.08
๐ข
TDC IV: 53.3% โ LOW
(-53.2% vs 30d avg of 113.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $30 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
59d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $27 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.39 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $29 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.58 ยท ฮ 0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $30 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$119 (145.6%) on $81 risked, vs +$292 (10.8%) for 100 shares on $2,708. Options give 13.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (59 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $30. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $30 by Jun 19
+$119
+145.6% on $81 risked
Max Profit
+$119
If the stock โฅ $29 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$81
Net debit
Break-even
$27.81
+2.71% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
61%
IV-implied, 59d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
13.53 / -0.05 / 0.02
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 10 | May 30 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | -$61 | -$69 | -$78 | -$81 |
| $23 (-15%) | -$49 | -$57 | -$71 | -$81 |
| $24 (-10%) | -$35 | -$42 | -$56 | -$81 |
| $26 (-5%) | -$18 | -$23 | -$34 | -$81 |
| $27 (-2%) | -$7 | -$10 | -$17 | -$81 |
| $27 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$1 | -$5 | -$73 |
| $28 (+2%) | +$8 | +$8 | +$7 | -$19 |
| $28 (+5%) | +$19 | +$21 | +$25 | +$62 |
| $30 (+11%) โ target | +$39 | +$45 | +$58 | +$119 |
| $31 (+15%) | +$52 | +$60 | +$77 | +$119 |
| $33 (+20%) | +$66 | +$76 | +$94 | +$119 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.