Target Price Playground
TDC
$27.08
๐ข
TDC IV: 53.3% โ LOW
(-53.2% vs 30d avg of 113.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $24 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
59d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $27 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.11 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $24 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$89 (41.9%) on $211 risked, vs $-308 (-11.4%) for 100 shares on $2,708. Options give 3.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (59 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $24. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $24 by Jun 19
+$89
+41.9% on $211 risked
Max Profit
+$2,489
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$211
Premium paid
Break-even
$24.89
-8.1% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 59d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-43.9 / -1.72 / 4.29
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 10 | May 30 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | +$344 | +$331 | +$321 | +$323 |
| $23 (-15%) | +$238 | +$217 | +$195 | +$187 |
| $24 (-11%) โ target | +$170 | +$143 | +$111 | +$89 |
| $24 (-10%) | +$146 | +$117 | +$82 | +$52 |
| $26 (-5%) | +$66 | +$32 | -$14 | -$84 |
| $27 (-2%) | +$25 | -$11 | -$60 | -$165 |
| $27 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$36 | -$87 | -$211 |
| $28 (+2%) | -$22 | -$59 | -$110 | -$211 |
| $28 (+5%) | -$53 | -$89 | -$138 | -$211 |
| $30 (+10%) | -$95 | -$129 | -$171 | -$211 |
| $31 (+15%) | -$127 | -$157 | -$191 | -$211 |
| $33 (+20%) | -$151 | -$176 | -$201 | -$211 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.