Target Price Playground
TDC
$27.08
๐ข
TDC IV: 53.3% โ LOW
(-53.2% vs 30d avg of 113.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $30 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
59d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $27.08 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $30 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$292 (10.8%) on $2,708 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $30 by Jun 19
+$292
+10.8% on $2,708 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,708
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$27.08
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
61%
IV-implied, 59d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 21 | Jun 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | -$542 | -$542 | -$542 |
| $23 (-15%) | -$406 | -$406 | -$406 |
| $24 (-10%) | -$271 | -$271 | -$271 |
| $26 (-5%) | -$135 | -$135 | -$135 |
| $27 (-2%) | -$54 | -$54 | -$54 |
| $27 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $28 (+2%) | +$54 | +$54 | +$54 |
| $28 (+5%) | +$135 | +$135 | +$135 |
| $30 (+11%) โ target | +$292 | +$292 | +$292 |
| $31 (+15%) | +$406 | +$406 | +$406 |
| $33 (+20%) | +$542 | +$542 | +$542 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.