Target Price Playground
TDC
$27.08
๐ข
TDC IV: 53.3% โ LOW
(-53.2% vs 30d avg of 113.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $30 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
59d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $27.08 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.63 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $30 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$129 (4.5%) on $2,871 risked, vs +$292 (10.8%) for 100 shares on $2,708. Options give 0.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (59 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $30. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $30 by Jun 19
+$129
+4.5% on $2,871 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$271
Put floors you at $26
Break-even
$28.71
+6.02% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
61%
IV-implied, 59d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
63.07 / -1.67 / 4.11
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 10 | May 30 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | -$234 | -$252 | -$268 | -$271 |
| $23 (-15%) | -$196 | -$221 | -$251 | -$271 |
| $24 (-10%) | -$145 | -$176 | -$218 | -$271 |
| $26 (-5%) | -$79 | -$113 | -$162 | -$271 |
| $27 (-2%) | -$33 | -$68 | -$117 | -$217 |
| $27 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$35 | -$83 | -$163 |
| $28 (+2%) | +$35 | +$1 | -$46 | -$109 |
| $28 (+5%) | +$91 | +$58 | +$15 | -$28 |
| $30 (+11%) โ target | +$210 | +$181 | +$148 | +$129 |
| $31 (+15%) | +$303 | +$278 | +$253 | +$243 |
| $33 (+20%) | +$421 | +$401 | +$383 | +$379 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.