Target Price Playground
TDC
$27.08
๐ข
TDC IV: 53.3% โ LOW
(-53.2% vs 30d avg of 113.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $29 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
59d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $27.08 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $29 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.58 ยท ฮ 0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $29 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$350 (13.7%) on $2,550 risked, vs +$192 (7.1%) for 100 shares on $2,708. Options give 1.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (59 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $29. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $29 by Jun 19
+$350
+13.7% on $2,550 risked
Max Profit
+$350
If the stock โฅ $29 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$2,550
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$25.50
-5.82% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 59d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.43 / 2.01 / -4.27
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 10 | May 30 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | -$405 | -$393 | -$385 | -$384 |
| $23 (-15%) | -$287 | -$268 | -$252 | -$248 |
| $24 (-10%) | -$180 | -$153 | -$125 | -$113 |
| $26 (-5%) | -$83 | -$48 | -$7 | +$23 |
| $27 (-2%) | -$32 | +$7 | +$56 | +$104 |
| $27 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$42 | +$95 | +$158 |
| $28 (+2%) | +$30 | +$73 | +$130 | +$212 |
| $28 (+5%) | +$72 | +$117 | +$177 | +$293 |
| $29 (+7%) โ target | +$98 | +$144 | +$205 | +$350 |
| $30 (+10%) | +$131 | +$177 | +$239 | +$350 |
| $31 (+15%) | +$179 | +$224 | +$281 | +$350 |
| $33 (+20%) | +$217 | +$259 | +$309 | +$350 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.