Target Price Playground
TDC
$27.08
๐ข
TDC IV: 53.3% โ LOW
(-53.2% vs 30d avg of 113.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $26 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
59d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $27 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.54 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.63 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $26 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$111 (121.1%) on $91 risked, vs $-108 (-4.0%) for 100 shares on $2,708. Options give 30.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (59 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $26. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $26 by Jun 19
+$111
+121.1% on $91 risked
Max Profit
+$107
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$86
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$28.53
+5.36% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
85%
IV-implied, 59d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-5.89 / 0.29 / 1.08
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 10 | May 30 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | +$14 | +$17 | +$20 | +$10 |
| $23 (-15%) | +$14 | +$20 | +$29 | +$25 |
| $24 (-10%) | +$12 | +$20 | +$34 | +$54 |
| $26 (-4%) โ target | +$6 | +$14 | +$30 | +$111 |
| $27 (-2%) | +$3 | +$11 | +$26 | +$82 |
| $27 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$7 | +$21 | +$56 |
| $28 (+2%) | -$3 | +$3 | +$14 | +$33 |
| $28 (+5%) | -$8 | -$4 | +$4 | +$4 |
| $30 (+10%) | -$18 | -$16 | -$15 | -$33 |
| $31 (+15%) | -$28 | -$29 | -$34 | -$57 |
| $33 (+20%) | -$38 | -$41 | -$50 | -$72 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.