Target Price Playground
TDC
$25.72
๐ข
TDC IV: 49.0% โ LOW
(-47.2% vs 30d avg of 92.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $29 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.3 ยท ฮ 0.54
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $29 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$70 (30.3%) on $230 risked, vs +$328 (12.8%) for 100 shares on $2,572. Options give 2.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (65 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $29. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $29 by Jun 19
+$70
+30.3% on $230 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$230
Premium paid
Break-even
$28.30
+10.04% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.05 / -1.93 / 4.31
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 6 | May 28 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | -$186 | -$207 | -$225 | -$230 |
| $22 (-15%) | -$156 | -$185 | -$215 | -$230 |
| $23 (-10%) | -$116 | -$151 | -$195 | -$230 |
| $24 (-5%) | -$64 | -$105 | -$159 | -$230 |
| $25 (-2%) | -$26 | -$70 | -$128 | -$230 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$44 | -$104 | -$230 |
| $26 (+2%) | +$29 | -$16 | -$76 | -$207 |
| $27 (+5%) | +$76 | +$30 | -$29 | -$129 |
| $28 (+10%) | +$160 | +$117 | +$61 | -$1 |
| $29 (+13%) โ target | +$211 | +$169 | +$118 | +$70 |
| $30 (+15%) | +$255 | +$214 | +$166 | +$128 |
| $31 (+20%) | +$356 | +$319 | +$280 | +$256 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.