Target Price Playground
TDC
$25.72
๐ข
TDC IV: 49.0% โ LOW
(-47.2% vs 30d avg of 92.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $28 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $25.72 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $25 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.63 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $28 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$65 (2.4%) on $2,735 risked, vs +$228 (8.9%) for 100 shares on $2,572. Options give 0.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (65 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $28. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $28 by Jun 19
+$65
+2.4% on $2,735 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$285
Put floors you at $24
Break-even
$27.35
+6.35% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
64.14 / -1.55 / 4.06
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 6 | May 28 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | -$235 | -$256 | -$278 | -$285 |
| $22 (-15%) | -$195 | -$223 | -$257 | -$285 |
| $23 (-10%) | -$142 | -$175 | -$220 | -$285 |
| $24 (-5%) | -$77 | -$113 | -$163 | -$285 |
| $25 (-2%) | -$32 | -$68 | -$118 | -$214 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$36 | -$85 | -$163 |
| $26 (+2%) | +$34 | -$2 | -$49 | -$112 |
| $27 (+5%) | +$88 | +$54 | +$10 | -$34 |
| $28 (+9%) โ target | +$162 | +$130 | +$92 | +$65 |
| $28 (+10%) | +$184 | +$154 | +$118 | +$94 |
| $30 (+15%) | +$289 | +$262 | +$235 | +$223 |
| $31 (+20%) | +$398 | +$377 | +$357 | +$351 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.