Target Price Playground
TDC
$27.08
๐ข
TDC IV: 53.3% โ LOW
(-53.2% vs 30d avg of 113.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $31 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
59d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $27 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.39 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $27 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.11 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $31 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-50 (-11.2%) on $450 risked, vs +$392 (14.5%) for 100 shares on $2,708. Options give 0.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (59 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $31. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $31 by Jun 19
$-50
-11.2% on $450 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$450
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$31.50
+16.33% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
49%
IV-implied, 59d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.21 / -3.78 / 8.59
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 10 | May 30 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | +$146 | +$113 | +$86 | +$84 |
| $23 (-15%) | +$70 | +$21 | -$30 | -$52 |
| $24 (-10%) | +$20 | -$43 | -$121 | -$187 |
| $26 (-5%) | -$3 | -$77 | -$176 | -$323 |
| $27 (-2%) | -$4 | -$82 | -$188 | -$404 |
| $27 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$79 | -$187 | -$442 |
| $28 (+2%) | +$9 | -$71 | -$179 | -$388 |
| $28 (+5%) | +$29 | -$50 | -$155 | -$307 |
| $30 (+10%) | +$81 | +$7 | -$85 | -$171 |
| $31 (+14%) โ target | +$144 | +$77 | +$0 | -$50 |
| $33 (+20%) | +$239 | +$183 | +$126 | +$100 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.