Target Price Playground
TDC
$25.82
๐ข
TDC IV: 49.0% โ LOW
(-45.1% vs 30d avg of 89.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $23 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.42 ยท ฮ -0.45
SHORT PUT ยท $24 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.47 ยท ฮ -0.32
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $23 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$105 (110.5%) on $95 risked, vs $-332 (-12.9%) for 100 shares on $2,582. Options give 8.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $23. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $23 by Jun 19
+$105
+110.5% on $95 risked
Max Profit
+$105
If the stock โค $24 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$95
Net debit
Break-even
$25.05
-2.98% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-12.81 / -0.12 / 0.41
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | +$66 | +$74 | +$88 | +$105 |
| $22 (-15%) | +$51 | +$58 | +$71 | +$105 |
| $23 (-13%) โ target | +$44 | +$50 | +$62 | +$105 |
| $23 (-10%) | +$34 | +$38 | +$47 | +$105 |
| $25 (-5%) | +$17 | +$17 | +$19 | +$52 |
| $25 (-2%) | +$7 | +$5 | +$2 | -$25 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$3 | -$10 | -$77 |
| $26 (+2%) | -$7 | -$11 | -$21 | -$95 |
| $27 (+5%) | -$16 | -$22 | -$35 | -$95 |
| $28 (+10%) | -$30 | -$39 | -$56 | -$95 |
| $30 (+15%) | -$43 | -$53 | -$71 | -$95 |
| $31 (+20%) | -$54 | -$65 | -$81 | -$95 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.