Target Price Playground
TDC
$25.82
๐ข
TDC IV: 49.0% โ LOW
(-45.1% vs 30d avg of 89.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $29 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.46 ยท ฮ 0.55
SHORT CALL ยท $28 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.68 ยท ฮ 0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $29 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$122 (156.2%) on $78 risked, vs +$318 (12.3%) for 100 shares on $2,582. Options give 12.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $29. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $29 by Jun 19
+$122
+156.2% on $78 risked
Max Profit
+$122
If the stock โฅ $28 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$78
Net debit
Break-even
$26.78
+3.72% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
60%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.38 / -0.05 / 0.04
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | -$55 | -$63 | -$73 | -$78 |
| $22 (-15%) | -$44 | -$52 | -$65 | -$78 |
| $23 (-10%) | -$31 | -$38 | -$51 | -$78 |
| $25 (-5%) | -$16 | -$21 | -$31 | -$78 |
| $25 (-2%) | -$6 | -$9 | -$17 | -$78 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$2 | -$7 | -$78 |
| $26 (+2%) | +$7 | +$6 | +$4 | -$44 |
| $27 (+5%) | +$16 | +$18 | +$20 | +$33 |
| $28 (+10%) | +$31 | +$36 | +$46 | +$122 |
| $29 (+12%) โ target | +$38 | +$45 | +$57 | +$122 |
| $30 (+15%) | +$46 | +$54 | +$69 | +$122 |
| $31 (+20%) | +$59 | +$69 | +$86 | +$122 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.