Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
TDC
$25.82
๐ŸŸข
TDC IV: 49.0% โ€” LOW (-45.1% vs 30d avg of 89.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $27 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Long Stock Long Call Long Put Bull Call Spread Bear Put Spread Covered Call Protective Put Cash-Secured Put Diagonal Put Spread Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

SHORT PUT ยท $24 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.47 ยท ฮ” -0.32
P&L at Expiry Now $26 Target $27 $18 $26 $34
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If TDC hits $27 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$147 (6.5%) on $-147 credit (max loss $2,253), vs +$118 (4.6%) for 100 shares on $2,582. Options give 1.4ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $27. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if TDC hits $27 by Jun 19
+$147
+6.5% on $2,253 max loss
Max Profit
+$147
If the stock โ‰ฅ $24 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$2,253
If stock โ†’ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$22.53
-12.76% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
85%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
32.24 / 1.52 / -3.97
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

TDC Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$21 (-20%) -$256 -$231 -$203 -$187
$22 (-15%) -$174 -$143 -$103 -$58
$23 (-10%) -$105 -$69 -$21 +$71
$25 (-5%) -$47 -$9 +$40 +$147
$25 (-2%) -$18 +$19 +$68 +$147
$26 (0%) โ† spot -$0 +$36 +$83 +$147
$26 (+2%) +$16 +$52 +$96 +$147
$27 (+5%) โ† target +$34 +$68 +$109 +$147
$28 (+10%) +$65 +$96 +$128 +$147
$30 (+15%) +$87 +$113 +$137 +$147
$31 (+20%) +$104 +$125 +$142 +$147
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.