Target Price Playground
TDC
$25.82
๐ข
TDC IV: 49.0% โ LOW
(-45.1% vs 30d avg of 89.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $28 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $25.82 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $28 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.68 ยท ฮ 0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $28 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$386 (16.0%) on $2,414 risked, vs +$218 (8.4%) for 100 shares on $2,582. Options give 1.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $28. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $28 by Jun 19
+$386
+16.0% on $2,414 risked
Max Profit
+$386
If the stock โฅ $28 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$2,414
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$24.14
-6.5% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
72%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.43 / 1.91 / -4.34
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | -$377 | -$361 | -$350 | -$348 |
| $22 (-15%) | -$269 | -$245 | -$225 | -$219 |
| $23 (-10%) | -$169 | -$137 | -$106 | -$90 |
| $25 (-5%) | -$79 | -$40 | +$4 | +$39 |
| $25 (-2%) | -$31 | +$13 | +$64 | +$116 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$46 | +$101 | +$168 |
| $26 (+2%) | +$29 | +$77 | +$135 | +$220 |
| $27 (+5%) | +$69 | +$119 | +$181 | +$297 |
| $28 (+8%) โ target | +$110 | +$161 | +$227 | +$386 |
| $28 (+10%) | +$128 | +$179 | +$245 | +$386 |
| $30 (+15%) | +$177 | +$228 | +$291 | +$386 |
| $31 (+20%) | +$217 | +$266 | +$324 | +$386 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.