Target Price Playground
TDC
$25.82
๐ข
TDC IV: 49.0% โ LOW
(-45.1% vs 30d avg of 89.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $25 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $26 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.84 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $25 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.69 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $25 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$120 (104.1%) on $115 risked, vs $-132 (-5.1%) for 100 shares on $2,582. Options give 20.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $25. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $25 by Jun 19
+$120
+104.1% on $115 risked
Max Profit
+$118
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$107
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$26.95
+4.38% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
83%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-8.3 / 0.23 / 1.08
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | +$29 | +$35 | +$42 | +$37 |
| $22 (-15%) | +$25 | +$33 | +$45 | +$52 |
| $23 (-10%) | +$19 | +$27 | +$43 | +$79 |
| $25 (-5%) โ target | +$10 | +$19 | +$34 | +$120 |
| $25 (-2%) | +$4 | +$12 | +$25 | +$74 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$7 | +$18 | +$48 |
| $26 (+2%) | -$4 | +$1 | +$11 | +$24 |
| $27 (+5%) | -$11 | -$7 | -$1 | -$6 |
| $28 (+10%) | -$23 | -$22 | -$22 | -$44 |
| $30 (+15%) | -$34 | -$37 | -$43 | -$71 |
| $31 (+20%) | -$46 | -$50 | -$60 | -$89 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.