Target Price Playground
TDC
$25.82
๐ข
TDC IV: 49.0% โ LOW
(-45.1% vs 30d avg of 89.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $23 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.42 ยท ฮ -0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $23 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$108 (44.4%) on $242 risked, vs $-332 (-12.9%) for 100 shares on $2,582. Options give 3.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $23. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $23 by Jun 19
+$108
+44.4% on $242 risked
Max Profit
+$2,358
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$242
Premium paid
Break-even
$23.58
-8.69% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-45.05 / -1.64 / 4.38
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | +$322 | +$305 | +$292 | +$292 |
| $22 (-15%) | +$225 | +$200 | +$174 | +$163 |
| $23 (-13%) โ target | +$187 | +$159 | +$128 | +$108 |
| $23 (-10%) | +$139 | +$107 | +$69 | +$34 |
| $25 (-5%) | +$64 | +$27 | -$21 | -$95 |
| $25 (-2%) | +$25 | -$14 | -$66 | -$172 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$40 | -$93 | -$224 |
| $26 (+2%) | -$22 | -$63 | -$117 | -$242 |
| $27 (+5%) | -$52 | -$93 | -$146 | -$242 |
| $28 (+10%) | -$96 | -$135 | -$184 | -$242 |
| $30 (+15%) | -$130 | -$166 | -$208 | -$242 |
| $31 (+20%) | -$158 | -$190 | -$223 | -$242 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.