Target Price Playground
TDC
$25.82
๐ข
TDC IV: 49.0% โ LOW
(-45.1% vs 30d avg of 89.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $28 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $25.82 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $25 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.69 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $28 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$49 (1.8%) on $2,751 risked, vs +$218 (8.4%) for 100 shares on $2,582. Options give 0.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $28. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $28 by Jun 19
+$49
+1.8% on $2,751 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$301
Put floors you at $24
Break-even
$27.51
+6.53% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
72%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
64.59 / -1.57 / 4.11
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | -$243 | -$266 | -$291 | -$301 |
| $22 (-15%) | -$200 | -$230 | -$267 | -$301 |
| $23 (-10%) | -$145 | -$181 | -$227 | -$301 |
| $25 (-5%) | -$78 | -$116 | -$167 | -$298 |
| $25 (-2%) | -$33 | -$71 | -$122 | -$221 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$39 | -$88 | -$169 |
| $26 (+2%) | +$34 | -$4 | -$51 | -$117 |
| $27 (+5%) | +$88 | +$52 | +$7 | -$40 |
| $28 (+8%) โ target | +$154 | +$120 | +$81 | +$49 |
| $28 (+10%) | +$185 | +$152 | +$115 | +$89 |
| $30 (+15%) | +$289 | +$260 | +$232 | +$218 |
| $31 (+20%) | +$399 | +$375 | +$354 | +$347 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.