Target Price Playground
TDC
$25.82
๐ข
TDC IV: 49.0% โ LOW
(-45.1% vs 30d avg of 89.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $30 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.46 ยท ฮ 0.55
LONG PUT ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.42 ยท ฮ -0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $30 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-88 (-18.1%) on $488 risked, vs +$418 (16.2%) for 100 shares on $2,582. Options give 1.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $30. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $30 by Jun 19
$-88
-18.1% on $488 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$488
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$21.12
-18.21% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
50%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
9.9 / -3.6 / 8.76
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | +$128 | +$87 | +$53 | +$46 |
| $22 (-15%) | +$63 | +$6 | -$53 | -$83 |
| $23 (-10%) | +$19 | -$52 | -$135 | -$212 |
| $25 (-5%) | -$2 | -$83 | -$186 | -$341 |
| $25 (-2%) | -$3 | -$89 | -$199 | -$418 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$87 | -$201 | -$470 |
| $26 (+2%) | +$7 | -$81 | -$196 | -$454 |
| $27 (+5%) | +$23 | -$65 | -$179 | -$377 |
| $28 (+10%) | +$66 | -$19 | -$124 | -$248 |
| $30 (+15%) | +$126 | +$47 | -$44 | -$119 |
| $30 (+16%) โ target | +$143 | +$65 | -$22 | -$88 |
| $31 (+20%) | +$200 | +$129 | +$55 | +$10 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.