Target Price Playground
TDC
$24.56
๐ข
TDC IV: 51.7% โ LOW
(-39.6% vs 30d avg of 85.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $28 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $25 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.41 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TDC hits $28 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$109 (45.5%) on $241 risked, vs +$344 (14.0%) for 100 shares on $2,456. Options give 3.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TDC is at $28. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TDC hits $28 by Jun 19
+$109
+45.5% on $241 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$241
Premium paid
Break-even
$26.91
+9.55% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
55%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.46 / -1.83 / 4.14
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TDC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $20 (-20%) | -$191 | -$214 | -$234 | -$241 |
| $21 (-15%) | -$159 | -$190 | -$222 | -$241 |
| $22 (-10%) | -$118 | -$155 | -$198 | -$241 |
| $23 (-5%) | -$65 | -$106 | -$158 | -$241 |
| $24 (-2%) | -$27 | -$71 | -$126 | -$241 |
| $25 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$44 | -$101 | -$235 |
| $25 (+2%) | +$28 | -$16 | -$73 | -$186 |
| $26 (+5%) | +$74 | +$30 | -$25 | -$112 |
| $27 (+10%) | +$158 | +$116 | +$65 | +$11 |
| $28 (+14%) โ target | +$231 | +$191 | +$146 | +$109 |
| $29 (+20%) | +$348 | +$313 | +$277 | +$256 |
Uses TDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.