Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
TEAM
$57.15
๐ŸŸข
TEAM IV: 68.4% โ€” LOW (-33.2% vs 30d avg of 102.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $50 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

LONG PUT ยท $57 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.36 ยท ฮ” -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $53 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.32 ยท ฮ” -0.34
P&L at Expiry Now $57 Target $50 $40 $57 $74
Stock (100 sh) Bear Put Spread Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If TEAM hits $50 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$197 (96.7%) on $203 risked, vs $-715 (-12.5%) for 100 shares on $5,715. Options give 7.7ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TEAM is at $50. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if TEAM hits $50 by Jun 19
+$197
+96.7% on $203 risked
Max Profit
+$197
If the stock โ‰ค $53 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$203
Net debit
Break-even
$54.97
-3.82% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
-8.14 / -0.28 / 0.61
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

TEAM Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$46 (-20%) +$95 +$107 +$132 +$196
$49 (-15%) +$72 +$80 +$99 +$196
$50 (-13%) โ† target +$60 +$65 +$80 +$196
$51 (-10%) +$47 +$50 +$60 +$196
$54 (-5%) +$23 +$21 +$19 +$67
$56 (-2%) +$9 +$3 -$6 -$105
$57 (0%) โ† spot -$1 -$8 -$22 -$204
$58 (+2%) -$10 -$19 -$37 -$204
$60 (+5%) -$23 -$36 -$59 -$204
$63 (+10%) -$45 -$61 -$93 -$204
$66 (+15%) -$64 -$84 -$120 -$204
$69 (+20%) -$82 -$104 -$143 -$204
Uses TEAM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.